Serbia 2026: what the polls say a year out
Aleksandar Vučić resigned as president on 27 September 2026 to lead the SNS list in the snap parliamentary election, and Ana Brnabić, Speaker of the National Assembly, became acting president. In the 25 October election, the Student List, born of the protests that followed the Novi Sad station canopy collapse, won 53.7% of valid votes and 140 of 250 seats, against 39.5% and 103 seats for Vučić's list, according to the Republic Electoral Commission (RIK). The presidential election must be held by 27 December and had not been called as of 8 November. Vučić cannot run because the Constitution bars a third term, and the SNS has not named a candidate; Ivica Dačić (SPS) and Bogoljub Karić have signalled they will run, and the student movement says it will field its own candidate.
A year out, a poll measures voters' mood and how well known each name is, not the vote. That is why this page has no average and no chance of winning: each poll is shown with its dates, its method and its pollster's track record.
Likely candidates: Ivica Dačić (SPS, likely); Candidato do movimento estudantil (nome não anunciado; cogitados Radomir Saičić e Vladan Đokić) (Studentska lista – Studenti pobeđuju, likely); Bogoljub Karić (Pokret Snaga Srbije – BK, likely); Branimir Nestorović (Mi – snaga naroda, likely); Aleksandar Vučić (SNS, barred); other names floated: 2
Polling average
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Pro-European and liberal opposition | Student List | Nationalist opposition | Government camp (SNS and allies) | Weight in average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faktor plus | 20/09/26 | 3.6% | 37.1% | 4.0% | 53.5% | 100% |
Capivote average of each pollster’s recent polls. The "this week" change compares with the average computed from the polls available seven days earlier.
Government approval
No approval poll with published methodology.
Vote polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Question | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faktor plus | 20/09/26 | Party vote intenção de voto para as legislativas de 25/10/2026, usada como proxy (não há pesquisa presidencial) | Aleksandar Vučić – Ujedinjena Srbija 48.6% · Studentska lista 37.1% · SPS 4.9% · Evropska Srbija 3.6% · NADA / Autentična desnica 2.8% · Mi – snaga naroda 1.2% |
Only recent polls with published fieldwork and sample, from independent pollsters, are included; for each pollster the latest wave counts, and the previous one shows the trend. Polls commissioned by a party, campaign or government, or run by a pollster whose owner or director is tied to a party, are excluded.
Sources: each poll links to the original publication (the pollster's name is the link). Past results: each country's electoral body, or press reproducing the official tally. Compiled on Nov 8, 2026.