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Nigeria · January 16, 2027 · President and Congress

Nigeria 2027: what the polls say

Nigeria elects its president and National Assembly on 16 January 2027, a date brought forward by INEC after the Electoral Act 2026; it is the first January presidential vote since 1999. President Bola Tinubu (APC) seeks re-election against 17 other tickets, including Atiku Abubakar (ADC), Peter Obi (NDC, with Rabiu Kwankwaso as running mate) and Sandy Onor (PDP). In 2023 Tinubu won with 36.6% of valid votes, against 29.1% for Atiku and 25.4% for Obi, after the most cited published polls had shown Obi ahead. Winning outright requires more than the most votes: a candidate also needs a quarter of the vote in two thirds of the states and the FCT. National polls with full methodology are rare; those released in 2026 are online polls or surveys without exact fieldwork dates.

A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. Each poll is shown with its dates, its method and its pollster's track record; the average uses only each pollster's latest wave.

Likely candidates: Bola Tinubu (vice: Kashim Shettima) (APC, confirmed); Atiku Abubakar (vice: Chibuike Rotimi Amaechi) (ADC, confirmed); Peter Gregory Obi (vice: Musa Mohammed Rabiu Kwankwaso) (NDC, confirmed); Sandy Ojang Onor (vice: Umaru Babangida) (PDP, confirmed); Sunday Chibuzo Okereke (vice: Hajja Bintu Konto) (LP, confirmed); Omoyele Sowore (vice: Haruna Garba Magashi) (AAC, confirmed); Oluseyi Abiodun Makinde (vice: Musa Lawal Daura) (APM, confirmed); Adewole Ebenezer Adebayo (vice: Usman Muhammed Bugaje) (SDP, confirmed); other names floated: 10

until election day
January 16, 2027 · President and Congress
0
polls with published methodology
one per pollster, recent fieldwork

Government approval

No approval poll with published methodology.

Vote polls

No poll with published methodology has measured the vote yet.

Only recent polls with published fieldwork and sample, from independent pollsters, are included; for each pollster the latest wave counts, and the previous one shows the trend. Polls commissioned by a party, campaign or government, or run by a pollster whose owner or director is tied to a party, are excluded.

Sources: each poll links to the original publication (the pollster's name is the link). Past results: each country's electoral body, or press reproducing the official tally. Compiled on Nov 8, 2026.