Guinea-Bissau 2026: what the polls say a year out
Guinea-Bissau has been under a military transitional regime since the coup of 26 November 2025, staged three days after the general election and on the eve of the release of results that were never published. Transitional President General Horta Inta-A set presidential and legislative elections by decree for 6 December 2026. On 8 October 2026 transitional Prime Minister Ilídio Vieira Té and the National Electoral Commission declared that date unfeasible, because no party filed candidacies with the Supreme Court within the legal deadline, and no new date has been announced. Earlier, a 30 August 2026 referendum boycotted by PAIGC approved a Constitution that strengthens the presidency and cuts parliament from 102 to 65 seats.
A year out, a poll measures voters' mood and how well known each name is, not the vote. That is why this page has no average and no chance of winning: each poll is shown with its dates, its method and its pollster's track record.
Government approval
No approval poll with published methodology.
Vote polls
No poll with published methodology has measured the vote yet.
Only recent polls with published fieldwork and sample, from independent pollsters, are included; for each pollster the latest wave counts, and the previous one shows the trend. Polls commissioned by a party, campaign or government, or run by a pollster whose owner or director is tied to a party, are excluded.
Sources: each poll links to the original publication (the pollster's name is the link). Past results: each country's electoral body, or press reproducing the official tally. Compiled on Nov 8, 2026.