The Gambia 2026: what the polls say
The Gambia elects its President on 5 December 2026 in a single round: the candidate with the most votes wins, and ballots are cast with marbles. President Adama Barrow, in office since 2017 and re-elected in 2021 with 53.2% of the vote, is seeking a third term for the National People's Party (NPP); the 1997 Constitution sets no term limits. His main rival is Ousainou Darboe, the United Democratic Party (UDP) flagbearer for the sixth time, while Kanifing mayor Talib Bensouda leads the UNITE movement, whose nomination was scheduled for 7 November amid allegations in a government report. Nominations before the Independent Electoral Commission run from 3 to 14 November, and the final list of candidates has not yet been published.
A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. Each poll is shown with its dates, its method and its pollster's track record; the average uses only each pollster's latest wave.
Likely candidates: Adama Barrow (NPP, likely); Ousainou Darboe (UDP, likely); Talib Bensouda (UNITE, likely); Isatou Touray (likely); other names floated: 2
Government approval
No approval poll with published methodology.
Vote polls
No recent poll with published technical details. The latest is from Gambia Participates, with fieldwork ending on 10/08/26, and it is too old to count.
Only recent polls with published fieldwork and sample, from independent pollsters, are included; for each pollster the latest wave counts, and the previous one shows the trend. Polls commissioned by a party, campaign or government, or run by a pollster whose owner or director is tied to a party, are excluded.
Sources: each poll links to the original publication (the pollster's name is the link). Past results: each country's electoral body, or press reproducing the official tally. Compiled on Nov 8, 2026.