Fiji 2026: what the polls say a year out
Fiji may hold its first referendum, on a new constitution that creates a Senate and removes immunity for those behind the 2006 coup. Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka announced a 9 December vote, but it depends on a third reading in Parliament that has slipped to early December; since the law requires 30 to 45 days between the writ and polling day, that date is no longer possible. Coalition partners NFP and SODELPA have said they do not support the bill as drafted. The general election must be held by 6 February 2027 under the current rules. No referendum poll has been published; the only recent electoral survey, by the CDD (September and October), puts Rabuka's PAP ahead with 27.5% of decided voters.
A year out, a poll measures voters' mood and how well known each name is, not the vote. That is why this page has no average and no chance of winning: each poll is shown with its dates, its method and its pollster's track record.
Likely candidates: Sim (aprovar a nova Constituição) (Governo Rabuka, likely); Não (FLP, Unity Fiji e oposição; NFP e SODELPA contra o texto atual, likely)
Government approval
No approval poll with published methodology.
Vote polls
No poll with published methodology has measured the vote yet.
Only recent polls with published fieldwork and sample, from independent pollsters, are included; for each pollster the latest wave counts, and the previous one shows the trend. Polls commissioned by a party, campaign or government, or run by a pollster whose owner or director is tied to a party, are excluded.
Sources: each poll links to the original publication (the pollster's name is the link). Past results: each country's electoral body, or press reproducing the official tally. Compiled on Nov 8, 2026.